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BacktestIndia / Mutual Funds Sahi Hai / Rolling Returns Tool
Interactive Tool

Rolling Returns Visualiser
All Strategies · All Windows

Each dot = one possible entry point for a rolling holding period. Hover or tap any dot for entry date, exit date, and exact returns. Toggle strategies and window lengths.

Strategy
Rolling Window
Windows Tested
102
Strategy Wins
77
(75%)
Nifty Wins
25
(25%)
Avg Alpha
+2.06%
per yr

Low Volatility CAGR vs Nifty 50 CAGR — 10-Year Rolling Windows (Dec 2006Jun 2015 entry points)

X-axis = Nifty 50 CAGR for that window  |  Y-axis = Low Volatility CAGR  |  Points above the diagonal = strategy wins.

Low Volatility wins (77 windows)
Nifty 50 wins (25 windows)

Every Entry Point at a Glance — Dot Grid

Each dot = one rolling 10-Year window. Green = Low Volatility beat Nifty. Red = Nifty won.

77/102 windows won — 75.5% win rate over 10-Year rolling periods

All Strategies — 10-Year Win Rate Comparison

StrategyAvg CAGRvs NiftyWin RateMax DD (est.)
Low Volatility12.38%+1.96%75%-44%
Quality-Momentum17.95%+7.53%100%-58%
Multi-Factor14.61%+4.19%94%-55%
Momentum14.01%+3.59%94%-70%
Value-Quality11.38%+0.96%60%-50%

Click any row to switch strategy. Max drawdown from 18-year BacktestIndia backtest (Dec 2006–Jun 2025).

🔑 WHY ROLLING WINDOWS MATTER

Point-to-point returns are lottery tickets. Rolling-window analysis asks: "If you had invested on any random month in a 10-year window, how often would this strategy have beaten the index?" That's the question that actually matters for real investors — not the cherry-picked start date in a marketing brochure.

Data: BacktestIndia 18-year NSE backtest (Dec 2006–Jun 2025) · 1,700+ stocks including delisted · Real LTCG/STCG taxes applied · All rolling window CAGRs are net of all costs. Dot-level returns are illustrative estimates generated from strategy averages and variance; exact rolling returns available in the full Lost Decade Analysis article. Not investment advice. ← Back to the article

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